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"If you don't bet, you can't win. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet."

"Throughout my financial career, I have continually witnessed examples of other people that I have known being ruined by a failure to respect risk."

"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1) If you don't bet, you can't win. 2) If you lose all your chips, you can't bet."

"I just want to play the game, I don't care about being right."

Active Era
1980s – Present
Net Worth / AUM
~$800 Million
Avg Annual Return
~30% (Mint Investment period)
Max Drawdown
~12% (one of the lowest ever)
Markets
Commodities, Futures, Equities

Biography

Larry Hite's story is one of the most inspiring in trading history. Legally blind since childhood, he failed at numerous careers — screenwriter, actor, music promoter — before discovering trading in his 30s. He co-founded **Mint Investment Management** in 1981, which became the **first fund ever to manage over $1 billion** using purely systematic, rules-based strategies. Mint's performance was extraordinary: approximately **30% annual returns** with maximum drawdowns of just **~12%** — an almost unheard-of risk-adjusted track record. Hite's fundamental insight was revolutionary for its time: **you don't need to predict the market; you just need to manage risk better than everyone else**. He treated trading as a pure probability game and focused obsessively on position sizing and risk limits rather than trying to forecast market direction. His approach influenced an entire generation of quantitative fund managers and proved that systematic risk management could outperform discretionary genius.

Strategy Deep Dive

Hite's strategy is built on one central principle: survival first, profits second. His entire system is designed to ensure the fund can never suffer a catastrophic loss, no matter what the market does. 1. The 1% Rule — Absolute Risk Limit: Hite never risks more than 1% of total fund equity on any single trade. This is non-negotiable and applies to every trade, every market, every time. If a trade's stop-loss distance requires risking more than 1%, he reduces position size or skips the trade entirely. 2. Systematic Trend Following — No Predictions: Hite uses mechanical trend-following signals across a diversified portfolio of 50+ markets. He doesn't try to predict which markets will trend — he simply applies the same system to all markets and lets the trends emerge. His system uses moving average crossovers and breakouts to generate signals. 3. Extreme Diversification: Hite trades as many markets as possible — grains, metals, currencies, bonds, energies, indices, softs — because he knows he can't predict which markets will produce the next big trend. By spreading risk across 50+ uncorrelated markets, he ensures that losses in non-trending markets are offset by gains in trending ones. 4. Layered Position Building Within Risk Limits: Within his strict 1% risk rule, Hite builds positions in layers as trends develop. He might start with half the intended position and add the rest when the trend is confirmed. But the total risk across all layers in a single market never exceeds 1% of equity. 5. The "Equal Disrespect" Principle: Hite treats all markets with "equal disrespect" — meaning he applies the same risk rules and system to every market. He doesn't favor markets he understands better or has a "gut feeling" about. The system is the system.

Real Trade Example

1985-86 Crude Oil Collapse — Systematic Risk Control in Action

Setup & Context

Mint's trend-following system generated a sell signal on crude oil as OPEC production disputes escalated. Oil had been declining from $30 and the system's moving averages confirmed a downtrend.

Entry Layers
L1
$26/barrelHalf position short

20-day MA crossed below 50-day MA — initial downtrend signal

L2
$24/barrelFull position short

Price confirmed new lows with momentum — added to full 1% risk allocation

L3
Held through $15Position maintained

Trailing stop never triggered — system kept riding the trend

L4
$11/barrelExit signal triggered

Moving average crossover reversed — system exited systematically

Stop Loss

Initial stop at $28 (above recent resistance). Trailing stop moved down as oil fell, always 2 ATR above the low.

Outcome

Oil collapsed from $26 to $11 — a 57% decline. Mint captured the majority of this move across multiple energy contracts. The key: because the position was sized at only 1% risk, even if oil had reversed and hit the stop, the loss would have been manageable. But because it didn't, the profit was enormous — estimated $15-20 million from this trade alone across the fund.

Key Lesson

The 1% rule meant that if Hite was wrong, the loss was trivial. But when right, the trend-following system captured the entire move. This asymmetry — small fixed losses, unlimited potential gains — is the mathematical edge that makes systematic trend-following profitable over time.

Risk Management Rules

1
The 1% Iron Rule
Maximum 1% of equity risked on any single trade — zero exceptions
2
Portfolio Heat Limit
Total open risk across all positions never exceeds 20% of equity
3
Sector Concentration
No more than 4% risk in any single market sector
4
Drawdown Response
Cut all positions by 50% if fund drawdown exceeds 10%
5
Equal Treatment
Same system, same rules, same risk allocation to every market
6
No Overrides
Never override the system — no exceptions for 'gut feelings' or opinions

Key Trading Principles

1
Never risk more than 1% of total equity on a single trade — this is survival insurance
2
You don't need to predict the market — just manage risk and let the system find the trends
3
Diversify across 50+ markets — you can't know which market will produce the next big trend
4
Use systematic rules for every decision — eliminate all discretionary overrides
5
Focus entirely on limiting the downside; the upside takes care of itself through trend capture
6
Accept that most individual trades (60-70%) will be small losers — this is the cost of the big winners
7
Treat all markets with 'equal disrespect' — apply the same risk rules everywhere
8
Survival is the only prerequisite for success — a dead trader can't recover

Recommended Reading

📚 Market Wizards by Jack Schwager (landmark interview)📚 The Rule by Larry Hite (his autobiography)📚 Trend Following by Michael Covel

How SherAlgo Implements Hite's Philosophy

SherAlgo's profit/loss locking is a direct implementation of Hite's risk-first philosophy — set your maximum acceptable loss per position and the EA automatically closes when reached. The real-time account monitoring (equity, P/L, total lots) gives you the same portfolio-level risk visibility that Mint used. SherAlgo's position control (close all longs/shorts/specific orders) enables the systematic drawdown response Hite demands. And the ability to set identical parameters across multiple charts mirrors his 'equal disrespect' approach to all markets.